17.12.2024 - The Hindu

La Niña was expected to emerge by July this year, plus a milder winter due to this delay - India Meteorological Department.

La Nina & El Nino - definition

A phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), occurs in the Pacific ocean betwen Indonesia and South America is cooler than usual

La Niña has usually formed during the monsoon or the pre-monsoon period. El Nino, represents warming of the same region

Effects on Bharat

La Niña years, India receives normal or above-normal rainfall during the monsoon season. Droughts in Africa and intensifies hurricanes over the Atlantic Ocean.

Extreme La Nina events, generally lead to harsh winters in Bharat.

El Niño brings extreme summers and droughts in India while increasing rainfall in the southern U.S.

Triple Dip La Nina

This decade began with three consecutive La Nina events (2022, 2021, 2022), followed by an El Nino in 2023

Effects of climate change

Climate change may increase the frequency and intensity of both La Nina and El Nino events, as rising sea and land temperatures disrupt the pacific's balance.

This year change

In December, this year, there remains only a 57% chance of it forming is 2024.

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